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Fonterra Lifts Milk Price Forecast Amid Global Dairy Price Surge

Dec 05, 2024

Highlights:

  • Fonterra's Forecast Milestone: Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (NZX: FCG) has raised its milk price forecast to a midpoint of $10/kgMS, the highest in its history.
  • Global Dairy Prices Surge: Recent Global Dairy Trade auctions saw prices increase for the third consecutive session, driven by robust international demand.
  • Positive Economic Impact: The revised forecast is set to boost farmer incomes and strengthen New Zealand's rural economy, reflecting Fonterra's resilience and market adaptability.

Another Record High for Fonterra's Milk Price

Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (NZX: FCG), New Zealand's largest dairy exporter, has increased its forecast milk price to a midpoint of $10 per kilogram of milk solids (kgMS), marking its fourth upward revision this season. At the time of writing, Fonterra’s forecast range has moved to $9.50-$10.50/kgMS, surpassing its previous record of $9.30/kgMS for the 2021/2022 season.

Global Demand Drives Price Increases

The upward revision follows a significant rise in global dairy prices. Recent Global Dairy Trade auctions have seen average prices increase for the third consecutive session, signaling robust demand from international markets. Customers have shown renewed confidence in dairy products, further solidifying Fonterra's position in the global market.

Impact on Farmers and Industry Outlook
The updated forecast is expected to boost farmer incomes, providing additional support to the rural economy. Fonterra’s CEO, Miles Hurrell, emphasized that the strong global demand reflects the high regard for New Zealand dairy products. This uplift aligns with Fonterra’s commitment to creating sustainable value for its shareholders and suppliers.

Looking Ahead

Fonterra’s consistent upward adjustments highlight its adaptability to shifting market conditions and its strategic focus on leveraging global demand. As dairy prices continue to show resilience, the co-op is well-positioned to navigate the evolving economic landscape while supporting its farmers with competitive payouts.

The revised forecast underscores Fonterra’s pivotal role in the New Zealand economy, bolstering confidence in its long-term growth trajectory.

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